Not optimistic

[I have several entries from today to still transcribe or transfer, but let me go live for the moment]

I am not optimistic because Kerry MUST win Ohio, and then, assuming Bush takes Florida, there’s a scenario by which the final result is 269-269, if Kerry gets Minnesota and Iowa and Bush gets Wisconsin, Nevada, and New Mexico (I’m making very crude estimates based on county-by-county tallies). So Kerry has got to win Ohio AND one of the ones that are leaning Bush, and I’m assuming that Kerry will get New Hampshire and Hawaii.

I’ll be up for awhile.

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